The standard argument is a conversion multiple: warm introductions close some number of times better than cold outreach.
A sceptical buyer is right to push back. Most of the widely quoted multiples trace to vendor marketing rather than published research, and almost none disclose their method or control group. Leading with a number you cannot defend costs you the rest of the conversation.
The direction is not seriously disputed - a referred opportunity converts better and moves faster. The size of the gap depends on your market, deal size and who makes the introduction, and anyone claiming otherwise is selling.
Step 1 - Coverage, measurable in days.
Take fifty target accounts you genuinely want and have not cracked. Run the tool. Count:
| Measure | What it tells you |
|---|---|
| Accounts with any path | Raw reach |
| Accounts with a path a rep would actually use | The real number - most tools inflate the first |
| Paths held outside the sales team | Whether it found what you could not already see |
| Paths into accounts with no prior relationship | The hardest and most valuable case |
The gap between the first and second row is where evaluations go wrong. A tool that returns a path to every account by counting weak LinkedIn ties has 100% coverage and no value.
Step 2 - Conversion, measurable in a quarter.
Of the paths a rep actually used: how many introductions were asked for, granted, and turned into a meeting. Compare against the same team's cold-outreach rate over the same period.
Single-touch attribution will always undercount this category, because its effect is on relationships rather than clicks - the stalled deal that restarted, the second stakeholder who now takes calls.
So report the comparison: these accounts had paths and were worked that way; those comparable accounts were not. State plainly that it is not a true control group.
Claiming a precise multiple for something you did not measure. A sceptical buyer who catches one unsupported number discounts every other number on the page - and this is a category where the defensible numbers are good enough on their own.